Drought Early Warning: Theory and Practice, a book written by Chris Funk and Shrad Shukla, provides a comprehensive overview of drought-related scientific research, describes the available tools and techniques, and informs readers on how to use these tools and techniques to effectively identify, predict and communicate potential drought-related disasters. Throughout the book, the authors incorporate "climate change" as a pragmatic component of effective drought early warning, dealing explicitly with climate non-stationarity, increased climate variability, and the impacts of air temperature extremes. This comprehensive resource simultaneously addresses the physical, social and information management aspects of drought early warning. The book is available for purchase here.
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Publications
2022
Donghoon Lee, Jia Yi Ng, Stefano Galelli, & Paul Block. Unfolding the relationship between seasonal forecast skill and value in hydropower production: A global analysis. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 26, 2431–2448. 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2431-2022.
Natasha Krell, Frank Davenport, Laura Harrison, William Turner, Seth Peterson, Shraddhanand Shukl, Jessica Marter-Kenyon, Greg Husak, Tom Evans, Kelly Caylor. Using real-time mobile phone data to characterize the relationships between small-scale farmers’ planting dates and socio-environmental factors. Elsevier: Climate Risk Management, Volume 35. 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100396.
2021
Davenport, F. M., S. Shukla, W. Turner, C. Funk, N. Krell, L. Harrison, G. Husak, D. Lee, and S. Peterson. Sending out an SOS: using start of rainy season indicators for market price forecasting to support famine early warning. Environmental Research Letters 1748-9326. 2021. DOI: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac15cc/meta.
D. Lee, H. Ahmadul, J. Patz, & P. Block. Predicting Social and Health Vulnerability to Floods in Bangladesh. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1807-2021.
Jessie Pinchoff, William Turner, Kathryn Grace. The association between agricultural conditions and multiple dimensions of undernutrition in children 6–23 months of age in Burkina Faso. IOP Science: Enviromental Research. 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ac07f5.
Colin Keating, Donghoon Lee, Juan Bazo, Paul Block. Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru. EGU: Natural Hazards Earth System Science. 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2215-2021.
Andrew Hoell, Andrea E. Gaughan, Tamuka Magadzire, Laura Harrison. The Modulation of Daily Southern Africa Precipitation by the El Niño Southern Oscillation Across the Summertime Wet Season. AMS Journal of Climate. 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0379.1.
Shraddhanand Shukla, Martin Landsfeld, Michelle Anthony, Michael Budde, Gregory J. Husak, James Rowland, Chris Funk. Enhancing the Application of Earth Observations for Improved Environmental Decision-Making Using the Early Warning eXplorer (EWX). Frontiers in Climate. 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2020.583509.
Shraddhanand Shukla, Greg Husak, William Turner, Frank Davenport, Chris Funk, Laura Harrison, Natasha Krell. A slow rainy season onset is a reliable harbinger of drought in most food insecure regions in Sub-Saharan Africa. Plos One. 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242883.
2020
2019
2018